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Paul Gambles

Recognized as a regional financial expert, Paul is a regular speaker at industry events on market forecasting, financial planning, investing and legal issues for foreigners living or doing business in Asia.  Besides Paul’s blog, Paul previously distributed his ‘almost-daily’ email – “Daily Updates”, where he gave his views on timely issues affecting financial markets, macro economics, micro economics and everything in-between.

Born in South Yorkshire, England, Paul graduated from the University of Warwick with an Honours degree in English and European Studies.  He began his financial career in the early 1980s as a technical inspector at HMIT with Inland Revenue.  Following a successful career change to the Bank of Scotland in 1987, Paul moved to Bangkok in 1994 to help set-up an investment counseling practice, which today is known as MBMG International.

www.mbmg-international.com

  

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18 June 2010

Gotterdammerung?

There was a great article this week in the UK Telegraph which confirmed what we have been saying for a long time. Whilst people are rightly concerned about the indebtedness of the UK and other European countries such as Greece, Spain and Ireland it is Germany that they should be really worried about. As the Telegraph has confirmed it is the Germans that have the most household debt as can be seen from the graph below.

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Now, this is a tad worrying considering it is the country which is meant to be bailing out the rest of Europe. I am fully aware that Germany has a larger population than any other country in the EU but the facts are there nevertheless. The next graph, again courtesy of the Telegraph, shows what happens when you match household debt with disposable income. Okay, the figures concerning Spain and the UK are frightening but the Germans are ahead of the Greeks and just behind the Lithuanians who are not actually promising to bail out their fellow Europeans.

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Whilst it is very true that the Brits and Spanish have massive government debts as well as family ones it should be remembered where they get their money from - i.e. the people. Interesting times as the Chinese say.